PSG should have more of the ball at Le Havre, with the home side looking for direct receptions and second contacts. That territorial edge does not itself settle how often PSG can finish a recycled attack. Villarreal and Espanyol have a different first-pass contest: Villarreal press high, while Espanyol seek a clean release from a compact block. Both matches hinge on the first box reception after pressure.
At Le Havre, PSG's midfield can keep the home wing backs deep, but Maja, Fofana and Mizuta have shown ways to turn a direct ball or second contact into a home chance. PSG's confirmed absences remove familiar wide supply, and Godts' recent substitute finishing route has an unresolved role here. PSG may still lead through a high recovery, while Le Havre's outlet gives them a way to interrupt that control. That's why I'm siding with Le Havre to keep the result close.
Villarreal's high recoveries have fed Moleiro and the wide runners into repeated box entries. Espanyol's recent league attacks have struggled to turn the first pass into useful shots, while Fortuño and the back line have had to handle heavy pressure. Gueye is missing from Villarreal's central screen, but Maciá and Comesaña are available options; Espanyol's cup defenders carried long minutes and García has had little time to reshape the attack. Villarreal's rested attacking core and replacement supply can keep the pressure going after the opening exchanges. That's why I'm siding with Villarreal to win.
