PSG should have long spells on the ball, while Le Havre look for the first pass beyond their press. Both sides have recent routes from a recovered ball to a real shot in the box. The match turns on whether Le Havre's first or second release reaches Fofana and Maja before PSG reset.
Neves and Hakimi can feed Doué, Ferran and Akliouche through or around Le Havre's wing-backs, and PSG's substitutes turned their pressure into goals against Lyon. Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia, Marquinhos and Nuno Mendes missed that game, so the current attacking receivers and changed recovery line matter. Maja and Fofana had genuine recent box and final-pass contacts; Richardson or Ebonog can release them into space after a PSG advance. That is why I'm siding with goals from both Le Havre and PSG.
Sporting should control much of the ball against a Casa Pia side prepared to absorb the opening push. Casa Pia's useful moment is the first forward pass after Sporting lose an advancing ball or a cleared restart. Sporting's repeated entries and Casa Pia's direct outlet make the first clean follow-up contact decisive.
Suárez receives Sporting's wide delivery from Fresneda and Maxi Araújo, while Rêgo has already scored from Salah's direct pass against Estrela. Sporting conceded far-side deliveries against Viseu and a counter after a corner against LASK. Debast and Zalazar missed the Viseu match, while Casa Pia's Sequeira played and made six saves at Estrela. Coelho's plan to delay the opening breakthrough and the Rêgo outlet give Casa Pia a route to keep this contest close. That's why I'm siding with Casa Pia to stay within reach.
