Two games where both defensive units are thinner than their season numbers suggest, and where the attacks on each side create enough chances to keep the scoreboard moving.
Napoli's recent matches have been wide open, averaging well over three goals a game, and they are missing three defenders. Juventus will carry the ball and win corners, but their own back line is short of its keeper and a midfield screen. Juventus have scored less than their possession suggests, yet with both defences weakened the game should open up after the first goal, especially in the second half when midfield cover fades. That's why I'm siding with goals in Juventus against Napoli.
Marseille are an open, possession-heavy side that concede around two expected goals a game, and their recent league games finished 5-2 and 4-3. Toulouse are without their first-choice keeper and a defender, and they score through direct, good-quality chances, with 3-0 and 3-2 wins in their recent run. Marseille are also missing a centre-back, so chances should come at both ends. That's why I'm siding with plenty of goals in Marseille against Toulouse.
