Getafe can slow the opening with a packed back line, while Sevilla have fresh routes through midfield and the wings. The first clean finish may not decide the game because both teams can chase second balls. In Rotterdam, Twente should spend long spells around Excelsior's box, but the home side has direct outlets when that pressure is broken. Those two matches turn on what each team creates after the first goal.
Sevilla's Fofana and wide players can attack spaces Getafe recently gave up to Rayo, Athletic and Lugano. Getafe still have Djené, Mayoral and Mangala for a direct reply, while Uche and Juanmi missed their last cup match. Sevilla rotated in the cup, and their returning midfield and wide roles showed against Osasuna how they can block an equalizing chance before supplying another attack. That's why I'm siding with Sevilla to come out ahead of Getafe.
Excelsior can release Yegoian and Sliti when Twente's press leaves space, with Naujoks back among the attacking options. Twente's creators and Weghorst will keep sending the ball into the box, but their last two-goal league win needed a late breakthrough and an unusual second after a dismissal. Excelsior's heavy Groningen defeat also included an own goal and a penalty, alongside genuine chances conceded. I expect Twente pressure and an Excelsior response, so I'm siding with Excelsior to stay close.
