The derby sets the league's best attack against a ground where nobody has won a league match since May 2024, and the interesting part is that Fenerbahçe's recent run and Galatasaray's home record are measuring different things. Fenerbahçe have scored 14 without reply in three straight wins, but those came against Eyüpspor, Rizespor and Alanyaspor, none of whom arrive at RAMS Park with a title-holder's midfield. So the question I'd ask is whether that attack still works when the space is taken away, not whether it is in form.
Galatasaray's side first. Per The Hard Tackle's preview, they are unbeaten in 39 home league games (31 wins, 8 draws), but Rafael Leão is a doubt with a groin strain and Barış Alper Yılmaz played through discomfort at Lille, so the left side is the soft spot. Singo is closing in on a return. They also lost 4-0 at Trabzonspor earlier this season before answering with a 4-2 win at Lille, which says the champions can look fragile away and still be very hard to beat at home.
Fenerbahçe's side. The same preview has them as the division's top scorers with 22, only 6 conceded, and four straight league clean sheets. The flip side is Europe: they led Slavia Prague by two and drew 2-2, still without a Champions League win. A side that gives back a lead against a team of that level will be tested by a derby crowd in the same way, especially if Aké is missing at the back, as the previews I read suggest.
My read is that the match turns on what Fenerbahçe do in the ten minutes after Galatasaray's first spell of pressure, because that is exactly where their Slavia game went wrong. Team news is still moving (sources disagree on Müldür and Oosterwolde), so I'd wait for the lineups before judging how much of this holds.
