Estoril should have more possession and move through Carvalho and Guitane, while Moreirense seek a quicker release after regaining the ball. Both teams have shown ways to enter the area. The contest turns on the quality of the final touch and the next defensive action after a lead.
Estoril have generated shots without consistently creating clean finishes, and their central press left space at Viseu. Moreirense can move through Andrade or Mendonça toward Vonić before that gap closes, then use the next wide delivery if the first attempt is stopped. Maracás is currently out after playing the last league match, so Gilberto and Kevyn must cover his defensive role; Estoril's Garcia is out, while reports on Begraoui and Xeka differ, and neither featured in the last league eleven. Estoril's change to interim coach Raimundo has one cup match of evidence. Moreirense's direct supply and Estoril's recent trouble protecting a lead make me side with Moreirense to avoid defeat.
