Chelsea's central receivers will try to get behind Tottenham's first press, while Tottenham can attack directly through Kudus and Solanke. The side that protects its first pass should gain the better box service. At Willem II, the first pass is just as important because Cambuur press man to man and release their forwards quickly. Willem have counter routes, but their own box has been open to repeated entries.
Caicedo and Henderson can feed Palmer and Rogers before Neto or Hato reaches Joao Pedro. Bergvall and Bentancur are unavailable for Spurs; Maddison missed training after playing at Coventry, while Porro and Robertson have been cleared after recent interruptions. Chelsea's Martinez is out after leaving the Everton match, with Penders the recent replacement. Chelsea's front unit kept producing chances at Everton, and I expect that supply to continue through the later phases. That's why I'm siding with Chelsea to win.
Cambuur have used Van Duijl's recovery pass to find Hamache and Ceka's between-lines touch to reach Binder. Willem's Van Crooij and Slory can answer when they clear the first pressure, but Koster says his first game will bring limited changes. Didillon has medical clearance without a confirmed start; Cambuur's Bouah is suspended after playing against AZ. Cambuur's existing attack meets a Willem defence that has allowed sustained box access. That's why I'm siding with Cambuur to avoid defeat.
