Both of these matches pair open, high-event teams with thin back lines, so goals at both ends are the natural shape.
Real Sociedad against Levante: Sociedad play an open, high-volume game, averaging well over two goals a match in their last ten, with eight of those ten going over the usual goals mark. Levante have been leaky on the road, conceding fifteen in their last five away games. Sociedad also have two defenders out, so Levante have a real route to score from transitions. Rotation after the Europa League trip could slow things, but the structure still points to a game with several goals. That's why I'm on the goals here.
Sunderland against Leeds: two porous sides, each creating and conceding at a similar rate. Sunderland lean on volume and corners at home but are missing their suspended centre-back and another defender. Leeds are without a starting centre-back, yet hit on the break and score in bunches. Both forward lines have doubts, but both teams have enough ways to score. That's why I'm backing both sides to find the net.
