Two matches where the home side should own the ball and the visitors have very little attacking output to lean on.
Al Wasl are at home with no points from two Champions League games, but the numbers behind those losses are about finishing against elite opposition, not about chances. Against ordinary opponents they have been scoring freely. Al Quwa Al Jawiya are a low-event side: around eight shots and two on target a game, while giving up roughly sixteen shots and nine or ten corners. Wasl have been rested for eleven days while Quwa come off a short turnaround and travel. I expect Wasl to dominate territory and corners, and Quwa to sit deep and hope for one break. That is why I'm siding with Al Wasl to win by a clear margin.
Atalanta host Parma with a thin squad: eight players are out, but most of them were already missing for the recent 2-2 and 4-4 games, and the attack still produced in both. Parma have the weakest attack in the sample, about half a goal a game, with their forwards doubtful and one dropped. Atalanta should take most of the shots and Parma will need a set piece or a counter. That's why I'm siding with Atalanta to win the match.
