Venezia and Udinese can each reach the box, but their recent games separate a first opening from a sustained second attack. Everton and Coventry also have live routes through wide areas, with very different quality on their latest repeat chances. These matches turn on what happens after the first shot or defensive stop.
Udinese have used Davis to hold the ball, Zaniolo and Ekkelenkamp to connect behind him, and the flanks for another delivery. Venezia created close looks against Genoa and Inter, yet its latest chase at Como produced little from the changed front line. Davis played in Udinese's last match and is expected to lead it again; Solet returns after missing Roma, while Venezia's listed absentees already missed Como. I expect Udinese to sustain more of the useful central and wide supply. That's why I'm siding with Udinese away from home.
Everton's George, Dewsbury-Hall and Barry produced repeated box entries at Newcastle, with Pickford and Branthwaite ending the response. Coventry can release Sakamoto and van Ewijk or press through Awoniyi, but its latest Sunderland goals came from a small number of clear chances. Grealish missed Everton's recent Newcastle matches, so that attacking pattern already functioned without him; George played substantial minutes, while Coventry's Wright also missed its last match. I expect Everton to create the decisive follow-up chance. That's why I'm siding with Everton at home.
