Toulouse's high press meets a Strasbourg side that has struggled to end attacks away from home. The visitors can still break wide through Yassine and Godo, so the first box entry is only the start of the contest. The key is which side can create the next clear chance after that first exchange.
Toulouse kept pushing at Marseille even after falling behind, with Cásseres and Jørgensen helping recycle the ball into the box. Strasbourg's wide attack has a route through Harder, but its away defense has repeatedly allowed another close chance after the first clearance.
Dønnum is suspended after starting at Marseille. Oppong and Hidalgo supplied actual minutes after he left, giving Russell-Rowe and Tengstedt another way to receive the ball. Panichelli and Baldé missed Strasbourg's last match, while Godo's return supplied a shorter spell on the wing.
I expect Toulouse to recover high, keep feeding the box and find a further opening if Strasbourg answers the first one. That's why I'm siding with Toulouse to win.
