San Antonio and Houston can both score in bursts, yet the next defensive stop determines whether either burst lasts. Golden State and Memphis face a similar possession test around the rim and on the offensive glass. The useful signal in these meetings is how each team responds through the middle quarters, beyond the final margins of their openers.
Wembanyama's blocks and rebounding can start San Antonio's transition game, with Castle and Harper already showing scoring roles. Houston can answer through Durant, Smith and Sengun rather than depending on one hot scorer, and those roles were active in its opener. Fox and Johnson actually played for San Antonio, Sheppard played for Houston, and Adams did not; the current report leaves their next allocations open. Houston's multiple scoring outlets give it the stronger route to stay close through Spurs runs. That's why I'm siding with the Houston Rockets.
Curry's movement and Green's passing remain Golden State's starting point. Memphis can press its smaller interior rotation through Edey, Boozer and Jackson, who produced the rebounding route in their last game. Golden State's Butler, Porzingis and Moody were already out in its opener, while the current report still leaves Podziemski and Bassey unresolved; Coward is doubtful for Memphis. As Golden State changes its screen coverage, Memphis can keep producing second shots through the middle stretches. That's why I'm siding with the Memphis Grizzlies.