Three games where the favourite's edge comes from a concrete situation: fatigue, depth and rebounding rather than reputation. Each of these favourites is short on its own, so the story is about how each game should flow.
Philadelphia hosts Milwaukee. The Bucks are on the second night of a back-to-back and travelling, and their defence has given up 125 or more in three straight games, including 132 to a bench-led Chicago side. Philadelphia is rested, defends well at home, and its listed absences are fringe big men. That's why I'm siding with Philadelphia at home.
Seoul Knights against Suwon KT. Seoul's import centre Warney controls the glass, and Suwon has lost four of its last five and gave up 31 points in one quarter in its last game. Seoul has its own turnover habit, but the rebounding and paint edge at home is the heavier factor. I'm on Seoul.
Anyang hosts Wonju DB. Anyang plays slow and defence-first, has more than four days of rest against Wonju's short turnaround, and Wonju's big men fouled out in their last game. The Wonju fourth-quarter closing is real, but the slow tempo suits Anyang. I'm on Anyang at home.
