New York's early forward play should test New England's protection after an attack. Charlotte and Montreal also meet with useful receiving routes on both sides of the ball. In each match, the quality of the first escape matters more than a long spell of possession.
New England can find Gil beyond pressure and connect Miller with Turgeman. New York answer with direct progression, Cowell's deliveries and receiving options that extend into the bench. Their recent Miami performance contained chances across both halves, beyond the opening own goal.
Bazan is newly suspended after playing against Miami, while Che remains out. New England's Fofana has returned briefly and is no longer treated as absent; Sands remains questionable. New York's pressure and forward supply give them a route to stay level through the exchanges, so I'm siding with the Red Bulls to avoid defeat.
Charlotte retain Westwood, Biel and Toklomati, but their recent matches have repeatedly exposed the space after clearances and short combinations. Montreal can use Sealy, Synchuk and Escobar to reach those areas without matching Charlotte's possession.
Owusu remains out, changing Montreal's central target, while Sealy played the previous match and is an available expected option. The replacement central defenders have already worked together. I expect Charlotte to take the initiative and Montreal to seek quick outlets into the spaces that follow. I'm siding with Montreal to keep the result close, with a narrow Charlotte win returning this leg's stake.