Osasuna's opening press will test Deportivo's first two passes. Deportivo can escape through Villares and Amatucci into Soriano or Yeremay. The match hinges on whether that first escape produces a box touch before Osasuna's midfield regains the ball.
Deportivo created close chances at Atlético through its current midfield and wide group. Aubameyang and Eddahchouri remain listed out, while Carrillo played and assisted in the cup, giving Hidalgo an actual later receiving option. Osasuna's Oroz and Del Castillo are absent from the announced squad, though Budimir and the wide delivery from Moro still give its press a target.
Osasuna's press faded during its recent away loss at Sevilla, leaving space for an opponent's next pass. Deportivo have the receivers to move through that phase and compete for the cleared second ball near the box. That's why I'm siding with Deportivo to win.
