Lens use wingback width and Thauvin's delivery to build a second wave around the box. Paris FC can break their press with a clean central receipt and attack the exposed cover. Lazio can pressure Parma's short first pass, while Parma can use Bernabe to move the ball around that pressure. Each match turns on whether the first entry is followed by a useful second action.
Lens created chances even in their recent European defeats, with Thauvin feeding runners across the box. Paris have a sharp Sinayoko-to-Lopez route, though their away finishing has been uneven. Lens are without Edouard, Gradit and Ganiou after the Brugge trip; Paris's Ikone and Sangui remain out. I expect Lens's wide supply to keep Paris defending their far post. That's why I'm siding with Lens to edge the match, with a draw returning the stake.
Lazio's pressure and Tavares switches can reach Isaksen or Zaccagni, but their Juventus win came from few accurate shots and their Monza lead allowed a second-half response. Parma can release Bernabe after the aerial second ball and send Toure or Romero back into the area. Almqvist and Elphege remain out for Parma and had already missed the Torino match; Lazio's established midfield absences also remain. I expect Parma to keep enough of that second supply to stay close even if Lazio lead. That's why I'm siding with Parma to stay within a goal.
