Ipswich want to carry more of the game against Forest, whose best away attacks start with a held direct ball and a fast second pass. Middlesbrough should own more territory at Bolton, but Bolton have shown they can turn a clearance into an immediate attack. In each match, the side with more possession must deal with the space it leaves behind. The first recovered second ball may matter more than the raw shot count.
Forest can use Delap to hold the first pass, then release Gibbs-White and Ndoye into the space behind Ipswich's advancing wingbacks. Ipswich's home attacks against Liverpool and Fulham produced fewer central finishes than their possession suggested. Gibbs-White is fit after missing Arsenal, while Lukic's absence removes a usual Ipswich screen; Delap played the last match. Ipswich can still create through Enciso and late wide changes, so a level finish is a live part of this shape. That's why I'm siding with Forest to finish ahead, with a level result covered by the attached selection.
Boro's Brittain and Cozier-Duberry can work the right, but their Cardiff pressure contained many blocked or wayward attempts and two turnover concessions. Bolton's Brunt and Toal defended the box against Southampton, while Dalby, Bair and the wide runners gave them a reply route against Wolves. Those roles were present last match, and this view does not depend on Forino's disputed availability. I expect Bolton's clearances and later substitutions to keep the contest tight enough to matter. That's why I'm siding with Bolton to stay close or take a result.
