Getafe and Sevilla should wrestle over the first midfield pass, the wide channels and the second ball after a restart. Excelsior and Twente have a more open first phase, with home pressure against sustained visiting supply. In each match, a first goal will matter most through the next possession and the quality of the following shot.
Getafe can crowd the middle and seek Mayoral or Satriano directly, but its last league attack found only one shot on target. Sevilla's Fofana created distinct goal sequences against Osasuna, and rested Agoumé and Suazo can help him find space behind Getafe's wing cover. The current Getafe squad has fewer wide and attacking alternatives, while Sevilla has restored options around Fofana after cup rotation. I expect Sevilla's extra route to a clean finish to carry through the next Getafe response. That's why I'm siding with Sevilla.
Excelsior can press Twente's first pass and release Yegoian, with Sliti or Naujoks arriving for the second action. Yet their recent league openings produced little clean shooting, while Twente can work wide for Weghorst and counter into space if the home side advances. Van den Belt is the named replacement for suspended Weidmann, and Twente's central defenders and keeper played the AZ match. I see Twente turning its repeated entries into the decisive finish. That's why I'm siding with Twente.
