Getafe's pressure and second-ball contests meet a Lugano group whose European starters received substantial cup rest. The visitors have shown ways to attack through both recoveries and later wide delivery. In Thun, the central issue is also the next pass after pressure, with Hajduk's coordinated forwards meeting a home side whose exits and recovery defending have been uneven.
Getafe can make the opening phase physical, but their first pass has also been vulnerable under pressure. Lugano's Dos Santos and wide outlets can target the spaces between fullbacks and central defenders. Their late cross to Moncada against Red Star demonstrated an attacking route after Steffen had left the field.
Steffen's current injury removes an important connection, while Ünal and Terrats are reported available for Getafe after recent participation. The workload difference is specific: Lugano changed their entire starting team in the cup, while Getafe played an extended spell with ten men. I expect that freshness and the visitors' available attacking changes to matter as the contest develops. That's why I'm siding with Lugano to avoid defeat.
Hajduk's Šotiček, Bamba and Šego combined to turn interrupted Ajax build-up into goals. Those coordinated forward roles fit the weaknesses Thun showed when Zurich attacked behind their pressure and collected an uncleared cross. Fehr's delivery remains a useful home route, so securing the next midfield pass should shape the contest.
Thun's official exclusions include Saiz and suspended Kristal, narrowing their midfield choices. Hajduk's projected attacking group repeats the Ajax starters, with no assumed recovery for the players whose fitness remains unresolved. I expect the visitors' pressure and width to give them repeated opportunities to attack a retreating defence. That's why I'm siding with Hajduk Split, with a level finish protected.
