Moreirense and Estrela have distinct routes into the box through first shots, runners and wide delivery. At De Kuip, Feyenoord should control territory against a compact Fortuna shape. The first match centres on follow-up chances, while the second centres on how a deep defence preserves an outlet.
Vonić's shots brought Mendonça and Andrade into the scoring sequence at Estoril. Estrela's recent Casa Pia blank also contained genuine box access, including Stoica's header against the woodwork and several saved or blocked attempts. Those mechanisms meet central gaps and second-ball problems in the opposing defences.
Maracás is available after serving his ban, with his starting place unresolved. Andrade is expected fit in the reporting after managed training, and Estrela retain the Marcus–Stoica–Antonetti connections from their last match. I expect a measured opening followed by more space for deliveries, rebounds and transition runners as the score develops. That's why I'm siding with more goals in Moreirense against Estrela.
Feyenoord's Hadj Moussa can attack inward while Ferri occupies the centre-backs. Fortuna's expected central numbers ask them to move a settled block, a different task from the high pressure faced at PSV. Guth's half-game in the cup and the rest given to Pinto and Michut preserve useful parts of the visiting structure.
Zeefuik played and scored in the cup, while Descotte returned for the second half and extra time. Those are available forward exits alongside the expected compact defending, with López and Mármol already having handled Feyenoord's adjustment after St. Juste departed. I expect long home spells around the block, interrupted by direct Fortuna releases and restarts. That's why I'm siding with Fortuna Sittard to stay within a manageable margin.
