Como have been turning sustained possession into late box chances through both central and wide routes. Venezia's compact back three has absorbed long stretches of pressure while its forwards still found chances. Getafe's direct play will make the second ball and restarts important against Sevilla. Sevilla's high regains and wider outlets give that match a different path into the box.
Paz, Couto and Kaiki have supplied Como's recent finishes, with Douvikas and the late runners providing the final contact. Venezia held Inter level deep into their meeting and created chances through Adams and Lauberbach, who both played in that match; they also generated strong box pressure at Genoa. Como's Addai is unavailable and Douvikas's workload is unsettled, so the observed Venezia outlets deserve weight alongside Como's finishing. That's why I'm siding with Venezia to remain competitive against Como's sustained attacks.
Getafe can release their wing-backs after a long first ball, but their latest league attack produced little clean finishing. Uche, Mario Martín, Mojica and Zaïd are missing in roles that affect the first pass, second ball and outside cover; Mangala has returned for cup minutes without yet establishing a full-match outlet. Sevilla's returning spine supports Fofana's high recoveries and the wide delivery that has given them more than one way to finish. That's why I'm siding with Sevilla to make their repeated supply count against Getafe.
