Aarhus and Braga each have a route through the other's unsettled cover, and the first goal should create another attacking response. Braga's possession can produce wide deliveries, while Aarhus can press into quick chances. Sociedad can find Oyarzabal behind Lyon's first press and then attack the open flank. Lyon's wide counters can answer, making the next defensive stop central to that match.
Aarhus have used Bogere and Emmery to turn regains into a first finish, with Andersen supplying another side later. Braga have Horta between the lines and Gómez delivering toward Navarro or a later runner. Braga's travel group includes those attackers but excludes Barcia after he played the last match; Niakaté also missed it. Aarhus's midfield absence report is partly uncertain because Knudsen played late in the last match. Both sides have current ways to reach a separate finish, so I'm siding with goals in Aarhus–Braga.
Sociedad's Oyarzabal can release Gómez, Guedes or Kubo beyond Lyon's midfield, and Sučić offers another arrival. Lyon can run through Nakamura or Duranville, but Nuamah played the last match and is now ruled out, as is Niakhaté after a full match; Openda and Šulc remain absent. Sociedad's own listed absences also missed its last derby, leaving its attacking core intact. That combination strengthens Sociedad's route to the decisive finish, so I'm siding with Real Sociedad to win in regular time.
