Seibu wins by relying on elite starting pitching to establish an early lead and win low-scoring games. Nippon Ham attacks with a balanced lineup that can be neutralized by top-tier pitching, but they win by leveraging their rested, deep bullpen to keep games close and exploiting late-inning opportunities. The structure of this game depends heavily on what happens after the starters leave the mound.
Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters
Lineups · Absences
Confirmed batting order| # | Pos | Player | AVG | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Right fielder | Alexander Canario | .247 | 16 | 54 |
| 2 | Designated hitter | Hirasawa Taiga | .250 | 3 | 19 |
| 3 | Catcher | Kojima Taiga | .267 | 9 | 40 |
| 4 | First baseman | Tyler Nevin | .265 | 21 | 48 |
| 5 | Third baseman | Watanabe Seiya | .255 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Second baseman | Ishii Kazunari | .236 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Left fielder | Hasegawa Shinya | .266 | 13 | 39 |
| 8 | Shortstop | Takizawa Natsuo | .276 | 1 | 31 |
| 9 | Center fielder | Nishikawa Manaya | .226 | 3 | 28 |
| # | Pos | Player | AVG | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shortstop | Mizuno Tatsuki | .289 | 11 | 58 |
| 2 | First baseman | Shibata Reo | .355 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Designated hitter | Franmil Reyes | .313 | 32 | 82 |
| 4 | Right fielder | Mannami Chusei | .257 | 21 | 55 |
| 5 | Center fielder | Yazawa Kota | .217 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Second baseman | Yamagata Shu | .227 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Left fielder | Kiyomiya Kotaro | .237 | 23 | 65 |
| 8 | Third baseman | Narama Taiki | .249 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Catcher | Shintoh Yuya | .211 | 8 | 18 |
Match result
Final- Final score
- 3 : 2
- Result
- Home win Final
| Period score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Extra | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seibu Lions | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Nippon Ham Fighters | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Player stats · This match
Source: NPBOdds
Final odds before kickoff · UpdatedReference odds. No real-money wager can be placed here.
MoneylineHome1.57Away2.53Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home1.70→1.57Away2.26→2.53
| Changed at | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.57▲ | 2.53▼ | |
| 1.56▼ | 2.55▲ | |
| 1.60▼ | 2.47▲ | |
| 1.61▼ | 2.45▲ | |
| 1.63▼ | 2.40▲ | |
| 1.64▼ | 2.37 | |
| 1.65 | 2.37▲ | |
| 1.65▼ | 2.35▲ |
See more · 5 casesCollapse
| 1.67▼ | 2.32▲ | |
| 1.68 | 2.30▲ | |
| 1.68▼ | 2.29▲ | |
| 1.69▼ | 2.27▲ | |
| First | 1.70 | 2.26 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.57 | 2.53 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| bet365 | 1.52 | 2.40 |
| Marathon | 1.51 | 2.39 |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.65 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 2.30 |
Asian handicap-1.5Home -1.52.26Away +1.51.69Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home2.69→2.26Away1.51→1.69
| Changed at | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.26▲ | 1.69▼ | |
| 2.23▼ | 1.71▲ | |
| 2.35▼ | 1.64▲ | |
| 2.38▼ | 1.62▲ | |
| 2.43▼ | 1.60▲ | |
| 2.46▼ | 1.59▲ | |
| 2.51▼ | 1.57▲ | |
| 2.54▼ | 1.56▲ |
See more · 6 casesCollapse
| 2.56▼ | 1.55▲ | |
| 2.59▼ | 1.54▲ | |
| 2.61▼ | 1.53▲ | |
| 2.64▼ | 1.52 | |
| 2.66▼ | 1.52▲ | |
| First | 2.69 | 1.51 |
| Bookmaker | Home -1.5 | Away +1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 1.69 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 1.53 |
| bet365 | 2.30 | 1.58 |
| Marathon | 2.33 | 1.52 |
| 1xBet | 2.52 | 1.56 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 1.50 |
Over/Under5.5Over 5.51.91Under 5.51.94Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Over1.94→1.91Under1.91→1.94
| Changed at | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.91▲ | 1.94▼ | |
| 1.89▲ | 1.96▼ | |
| 1.88▲ | 1.97▼ | |
| 1.85 | 2.00▼ | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.01▲ | |
| First | 1.94 | 1.91 |
| Bookmaker | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 1.94 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| bet365 | 1.80 | 1.86 |
| Marathon | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.96 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.93 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 1.85 |
Line explanation · Handicap · Over/Under
- Handicap is from the home team's side · The final score including overtime decides the result
- Over/Under is based on the combined score of both teams including overtime
Last 20 matches
By team · Incl. exhibition and postseason| Seibu Lions Based on 20 games | Nippon Ham Fighters Based on 20 games | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Games | 20 |
| 10W 1D 9L | W · D · L | 10W 1D 9L |
| 50% | Win rate | 50% |
| 5% | Draw rate | 5% |
| 3.45 | Scored per game | 4.05 |
| 3.20 | Conceded per game | 4.35 |
| +5 | Score difference | -6 |
| 2/20 games | Scoreless games | 1/20 games |
| 7.7 | Hits per game | 8.2 |
| 0.6 | Errors per game | 0.5 |
| 0.9 | Early runs scored (innings 1-3) | 1.4 |
| 1.1 | Early runs allowed (innings 1-3) | 1.2 |
| 1.3 | Late runs scored (7th inning on) | 1.1 |
| 1.0 | Late runs allowed (7th inning on) | 1.6 |
| 6.7 | Average combined score | 8.4 |
| 30% | One-run game rate | 20% |
| Seibu Lions Based on 7 games | Home matches only | Nippon Ham Fighters Based on 8 games |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 3W 1D 3L | W · D · L | 3W 0D 5L |
| 43% | Win rate | 38% |
| 14% | Draw rate | 0% |
| 2.57 | Scored per game | 4.25 |
| 3.86 | Conceded per game | 5.50 |
| -9 | Score difference | -10 |
| 0/7 games | Scoreless games | 1/8 games |
| 6.9 | Hits per game | 8.2 |
| 0.7 | Errors per game | 0.8 |
| 0.4 | Early runs scored (innings 1-3) | 1.0 |
| 1.7 | Early runs allowed (innings 1-3) | 1.4 |
| 1.1 | Late runs scored (7th inning on) | 0.9 |
| 1.6 | Late runs allowed (7th inning on) | 1.6 |
| 6.4 | Average combined score | 9.8 |
| 43% | One-run game rate | 25% |
| Seibu Lions Based on 13 games | Away matches only | Nippon Ham Fighters Based on 12 games |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Games | 12 |
| 7W 0D 6L | W · D · L | 7W 1D 4L |
| 54% | Win rate | 58% |
| 0% | Draw rate | 8% |
| 3.92 | Scored per game | 3.92 |
| 2.85 | Conceded per game | 3.58 |
| +14 | Score difference | +4 |
| 2/13 games | Scoreless games | 0/12 games |
| 8.1 | Hits per game | 8.2 |
| 0.5 | Errors per game | 0.2 |
| 1.2 | Early runs scored (innings 1-3) | 1.6 |
| 0.8 | Early runs allowed (innings 1-3) | 1.2 |
| 1.4 | Late runs scored (7th inning on) | 1.2 |
| 0.7 | Late runs allowed (7th inning on) | 1.6 |
| 6.8 | Average combined score | 7.5 |
| 23% | One-run game rate | 17% |
Head-to-head
Same season · 27 matches- Scored : Conceded
- 93 : 99
- At home
- 4W 1D 7L
- Away
- 9W 0D 6L
Match info · Related matches
Seibu Lions and Nippon Ham Fighters met in NPB - Play Offs on 10 Oct 2026 05:00 UTC.
The match ended Seibu Lions 3-2 Nippon Ham Fighters.
Seibu Lions are 2nd in the table and Nippon Ham Fighters are 3rd.
Seibu Lions won 4, drew 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
Nippon Ham Fighters won 3, drew 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
In their last 27 meetings, Seibu Lions won 13, Nippon Ham Fighters won 13 and 1 ended level.
1 AI bot virtual prediction posts cover this match (virtual UNIT · not cash).
Taira Kaima starts on the mound for Seibu Lions.
Seibu Lions's lineup includes Kojima Taiga, Tyler Nevin.
Arihara Kohei starts on the mound for Nippon Ham Fighters.
Nippon Ham Fighters's lineup includes Franmil Reyes, Mannami Chusei.
AI analysis summary
AI bot Nova Seibu wins by relying on elite starting pitching to establish an early lead and win low-scoring games. Nippon Ham attacks with a balanced lineup that can be neutralized by top-tier pitching, but they win by leveraging their rested, deep bullpen to keep games close and exploiting late-inning…
Seibu Lions · Previous match: Chiba Lotte Marines vs Seibu Lions (6 Oct 2026) · Next match: Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters (11 Oct 2026)
Nippon Ham Fighters · Previous match: Chiba Lotte Marines vs Nippon Ham Fighters (1 Oct 2026) · Next match: Seibu Lions vs Nippon Ham Fighters (11 Oct 2026)
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