KoGas and Wonju DB both have productive first options, but the middle quarters test how each side finishes possessions. Belangel's ball handling and KoGas's interior pair meet Alvano's creation and Hammonds' scoring. In the cup tie between Nagoya and Urawa, the key contest is whether Nagoya's high regains or Urawa's wide escapes produce the next close shot. Both matches ask which side can find a second answer after the score tightens.
KoGas gave DB easy points through turnovers in their first meeting, when Ellenson also scored heavily. Ellenson missed DB's two latest games after a rest report, and Kang Sang-jae missed the last one after an ankle injury; Hammonds still played through reported ankle pain. KoGas can use Aluma and Ratliffe together in the middle quarters, then needs Belangel and its domestic support to carry that work into the finish. KoGas has recently defended well against KT and LG. That's why I'm siding with KoGas.
Nagoya's Takamine won the ball and started a fresh lead after Kashiwa equalized, while its wide and recycled attacks produced close chances against Yokohama. Urawa can answer through Sávio, Kaneko and set pieces, but some of its recent shot volume came from distance. Asano's injury is longstanding, and Yamagishi played the latest match and is expected to be available despite a hand concern; both cup lineups remain unconfirmed. Nagoya's renewed box supply after an equalizer is why I'm siding with Nagoya Grampus.