Palmeiras attacks efficiently using width and quick transitions, generating a high volume of chances, and they are dominant on set pieces. Corinthians creates opportunities on the road but struggles severely with finishing and defensive errors, particularly losing the ball during build-up. The visitors' interim coach has had barely two days to prepare, and they are missing their primary playmaker, which disrupts their build-up play and heightens the risk of fast transitions. That's why I am backing Palmeiras to control the game and secure the win at home.
Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense
Lineups · Absences
Confirmed lineup| 1 | G | Agustín Rossi |
| 2 | D | Guillermo Varela |
| 3 | D | Léo Ortiz |
| 4 | D | Léo Pereira |
| 26 | D | Alex Sandro |
| 5 | M | Erick Pulgar |
| 8 | M | Saúl Ñíguez |
| 15 | M | Jorge Carrascal |
| 11 | M | Lucas Paquetá |
| 16 | M | Samuel Lino |
| 9 | F | Pedro Guilherme |
| 27 | F | Bruno Henrique |
| 30 | F | Joaquín Freitas |
| 18 | M | Nicolás de la Cruz |
| 19 | F | Gonzalo Plata |
| 13 | D | Danilo |
| 42 | G | Andrew |
| 49 | G | Dyogo Alves |
| 22 | D | Emerson Royal |
| 44 | D | Vitão |
| 77 | D | Johnny Goes |
| 7 | F | Luiz Araújo |
| 14 | F | Anthony Valencia |
| 1 | G | Fábio |
| 2 | D | Samuel Xavier |
| 4 | D | Ignácio |
| 29 | D | Julián Millán |
| 13 | D | Guilherme Arana |
| 16 | M | Nonato |
| 8 | M | Matheus Martinelli |
| 17 | M | Agustín Canobbio |
| 32 | M | Luciano Acosta |
| 30 | M | Yeferson Soteldo |
| 19 | F | Rodrigo Castillo |
| 90 | F | Kevin Serna |
| 10 | M | Ganso |
| 11 | F | Jefferson Savarino |
| 7 | F | Hulk |
| 34 | F | Wesley Natã |
| 98 | G | Vitor Eudes |
| 22 | D | Juan Pablo Freytes |
| 23 | D | Guga |
| 3 | D | Thiago Silva |
| 21 | D | Igor Rabello |
| 35 | M | Hércules |
| 94 | M | Otávio |
| Ayrton LucasThigh injury |
| Evertton AraujoThigh injury |
| G. de ArrascaetaWrist injury |
| JorginhoSuspended for a red card |
| AlissonHip injury |
| G. CanoHamstring injury |
| John KennedyKnee injury |
| Matheus ReisKnee injury |
Match result
Final- Final score
- 1 : 0
- Result
- Home win Final
| Score by half | HT | 2H | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo RJ | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Fluminense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- 31'Yellow cardErick Pulgar
- 39'Yellow cardLuciano Acosta
- 49'Yellow cardSaúl Ñíguez
- 57'Yellow cardAgustín Canobbio
- 59'Yellow cardYeferson Soteldo
- 60'SubstitutionKevin SernaOff: Yeferson Soteldo
- 60'SubstitutionGansoOff: Luciano Acosta
- 64'SubstitutionJoaquín FreitasOff: Saúl Ñíguez
- 64'SubstitutionBruno HenriqueOff: Pedro Guilherme
- 65'GoalJorge CarrascalAssist: Lucas Paquetá
- 69'SubstitutionJefferson SavarinoOff: Agustín Canobbio
- 69'SubstitutionHulkOff: Rodrigo Castillo
- 78'SubstitutionWesley NatãOff: Matheus Martinelli
- 79'SubstitutionGonzalo PlataOff: Lucas Paquetá
- 79'SubstitutionNicolás de la CruzOff: Samuel Lino
- 83'Yellow cardIgnácio
- 87'Yellow cardGuilherme Arana
- 90'SubstitutionDaniloOff: Jorge Carrascal
- 90+5'Yellow cardJoaquín Freitas
Player stats · This match
Odds
Final odds before kickoff · UpdatedProvider-supplied reference odds. No real-money wager can be placed here.
1X2Home1.53Draw4.30Away6.59Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Home1.41→1.53Draw4.74→4.30Away7.07→6.59
| Changed at | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | 4.30▼ | 6.59▼ | |
| 1.53▲ | 4.32▼ | 6.65▼ | |
| 1.50▼ | 4.44▲ | 6.99▲ | |
| 1.51 | 4.42 | 6.92▼ | |
| 1.51 | 4.42▲ | 6.93▲ | |
| 1.51 | 4.38▼ | 6.87▼ | |
| 1.51 | 4.39▲ | 6.88▲ | |
| 1.51 | 4.38▼ | 6.86 |
See more · 30 casesCollapse
| 1.51 | 4.39▲ | 6.86▼ | |
| 1.51▲ | 4.38▼ | 6.87▼ | |
| 1.45▼ | 4.63▲ | 7.55▲ | |
| 1.47 | 4.56▲ | 7.29▲ | |
| 1.47▼ | 4.48▲ | 7.20▲ | |
| 1.50▲ | 4.35▼ | 6.92▼ | |
| 1.49▲ | 4.41▼ | 6.93▼ | |
| 1.48▲ | 4.46▼ | 7.02▼ | |
| 1.47▲ | 4.56▼ | 7.07▼ | |
| 1.46▼ | 4.62▲ | 7.22▲ | |
| 1.47▲ | 4.52▼ | 7.07▼ | |
| 1.46▲ | 4.58▼ | 7.23▼ | |
| 1.45▲ | 4.61▲ | 7.31▲ | |
| 1.44 | 4.55▼ | 7.14▼ | |
| 1.44 | 4.57▲ | 7.15▲ | |
| 1.44▲ | 4.55▼ | 7.14▼ | |
| 1.43▼ | 4.63▲ | 7.31▲ | |
| 1.44▲ | 4.58▼ | 7.25▼ | |
| 1.42▼ | 4.68▲ | 7.52▲ | |
| 1.50▼ | 4.29▲ | 6.49▲ | |
| 1.53▲ | 4.20▼ | 6.25 | |
| 1.52▼ | 4.23▲ | 6.25▲ | |
| 1.53▲ | 4.20▼ | 6.23▼ | |
| 1.49▲ | 4.35▼ | 6.61▼ | |
| 1.46▲ | 4.50▼ | 6.99▲ | |
| 1.43▼ | 4.73▲ | 6.93▲ | |
| 1.44▲ | 4.67▼ | 6.90▼ | |
| 1.41 | 4.81▲ | 7.24▲ | |
| Bookmaker changed · reference bookmaker Pinnacle | |||
| First | 1.41 | 4.74 | 7.07 |
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.30 | 6.59 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| bet365 | 1.55 | 4.00 | 6.25 |
| Marathon | 1.53 | 4.10 | 5.65 |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.05 | 6.33 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.30 | 6.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Asian handicap-1Home -11.92Away +11.97Pinnacle · Bookmaker 6Home1.64→1.92Away2.24→1.97
| Changed at | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92▲ | 1.97▼ | |
| 1.90▲ | 1.99▼ | |
| 1.84▼ | 2.06▲ | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.05▲ | |
| 1.86▼ | 2.04▲ | |
| 1.87▲ | 2.03▼ | |
| 1.74▼ | 2.18▲ | |
| 1.76▼ | 2.14▲ |
See more · 26 casesCollapse
| 1.77▼ | 2.11▲ | |
| 1.83▲ | 2.06▼ | |
| 1.81▲ | 2.08▼ | |
| 1.78▲ | 2.09▼ | |
| 1.75▲ | 2.14▼ | |
| 1.72▼ | 2.18▲ | |
| 1.76▲ | 2.12▼ | |
| 1.74▲ | 2.16▼ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.19▲ | |
| 1.71 | 2.18▲ | |
| Line changed · -1.5 → -1 | ||
| 1.71▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.68 | 2.23▲ | |
| 1.68▼ | 2.22▲ | |
| 1.69▲ | 2.19▼ | |
| 1.66▼ | 2.25▲ | |
| 1.85▼ | 2.01▲ | |
| 1.90▲ | 1.95▼ | |
| 1.89▼ | 1.96▲ | |
| 1.91▲ | 1.94▼ | |
| 1.82▲ | 2.05▼ | |
| 1.73▲ | 2.13▼ | |
| 1.69▼ | 2.19▲ | |
| 1.71▲ | 2.16▼ | |
| 1.65▲ | 2.26▲ | |
| First | 1.64 | 2.24 |
| Bookmaker | Home -1 | Away +1 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92 | 1.97 |
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| Marathon | 1.89 | 1.84 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 1.93 |
| BetVictor | 1.82 | 1.85 |
Over/Under2.5Over 2.51.81Under 2.52.07Pinnacle · Bookmaker 7Over1.69→1.81Under2.14→2.07
| Changed at | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.81▲ | 2.07 | |
| 1.80▲ | 2.07▼ | |
| 1.78▼ | 2.10▲ | |
| 1.79▼ | 2.09▲ | |
| 1.80▲ | 2.07▼ | |
| 1.77▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.78▼ | 2.11▲ | |
| 1.79▼ | 2.06▲ |
See more · 26 casesCollapse
| 1.85▲ | 2.02▼ | |
| 1.79▲ | 2.06▼ | |
| 1.78▲ | 2.08▼ | |
| 1.71 | 2.18▼ | |
| 1.71▼ | 2.19▲ | |
| Line changed · 3 → 2.5 | ||
| 1.72▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.71▲ | 2.19▼ | |
| 1.70▲ | 2.20▲ | |
| 1.69 | 2.19▼ | |
| 1.69 | 2.20▲ | |
| 1.69▲ | 2.19▼ | |
| 1.68▲ | 2.23▲ | |
| 1.67▼ | 2.21▲ | |
| 1.69▲ | 2.17▼ | |
| 1.68▼ | 2.19▲ | |
| 1.74▼ | 2.11▲ | |
| 1.75▲ | 2.09▼ | |
| 1.72▼ | 2.12▲ | |
| 1.75▲ | 2.09▼ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.13▼ | |
| 1.70▲ | 2.16▼ | |
| 1.68▼ | 2.18▲ | |
| 1.72▲ | 2.12▼ | |
| 1.70▲ | 2.16▲ | |
| First | 1.69 | 2.14 |
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| bet365 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| Marathon | 1.77 | 1.98 |
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 1.95 |
Both teams to scoreYes1.80No1.87Betfair · Bookmaker 6Yes1.87→1.80No1.90→1.87
| Changed at | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80▼ | 1.87▲ | |
| 1.85▼ | 1.85▼ | |
| 1.90▲ | 1.90 | |
| 1.87▼ | 1.90▲ | |
| 1.90 | 1.87▼ | |
| 1.90 | 1.90▲ | |
| 1.90 | 1.87▼ | |
| 1.90▲ | 1.90 |
See more · 6 casesCollapse
| Bookmaker changed · reference bookmaker Betfair | ||
| 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| Closed | ||
| 1.87▼ | 1.90▲ | |
| 2.00▲ | 1.80▼ | |
| First | 1.87 | 1.90 |
| Bookmaker | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.87 |
| bet365 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Marathon | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.88 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.87 |
Line explanation · Handicap · Over/Under · Both teams to score
- Asian handicap is from the home team's side · Home −1 means the home team's score minus 1 decides the result (quarter lines are not used as the main line)
- Over/Under is Over when the combined regulation-time score of both teams is above the line, and Under when it is below
- Both teams to score is “Yes” when both teams score at least 1 goal in regulation time · Extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Last 20 matches
By team · All competitions| Flamengo RJ Based on 20 games | Fluminense Based on 20 games | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Games | 20 |
| 13W 5D 2L | W · D · L | 9W 8D 3L |
| 65% | Win rate | 45% |
| 25% | Draw rate | 40% |
| 1.95 | Scored per game | 1.60 |
| 0.75 | Conceded per game | 1.05 |
| +24 | Score difference | +11 |
| 45% | Clean sheet rate | 25% |
| 5% | Failed to score rate | 15% |
| 1.68 (15 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.29 (16 games) |
| 0.88 (15 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.22 (16 games) |
| 50% | Both teams scored rate | 70% |
| 55% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 50% |
| 0.7 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.6 |
| 0.1 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.5 |
| 1.3 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 1.0 |
| 0.6 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.6 |
| 15.9 (15 games) | Shots per game | 13.3 (16 games) |
| 5.6 (15 games) | Shots on target per game | 4.8 (16 games) |
| 58% (15 games) | Average possession | 58% (16 games) |
| 6.0 (15 games) | Corners per game | 4.2 (16 games) |
| 1.9 (15 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.8 (16 games) |
| 10.9 (15 games) | Fouls per game | 11.5 (16 games) |
| Flamengo RJ Based on 12 games | Home matches only | Fluminense Based on 11 games |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games | 11 |
| 9W 2D 1L | W · D · L | 8W 3D 0L |
| 75% | Win rate | 73% |
| 17% | Draw rate | 27% |
| 1.83 | Scored per game | 1.82 |
| 0.67 | Conceded per game | 0.64 |
| +14 | Score difference | +13 |
| 50% | Clean sheet rate | 45% |
| 8% | Failed to score rate | 18% |
| 1.83 (8 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.64 (8 games) |
| 0.66 (8 games) | Expected goals against per game | 0.86 (8 games) |
| 42% | Both teams scored rate | 55% |
| 58% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 55% |
| 0.6 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.2 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.5 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 1.0 |
| 0.5 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.2 |
| 17.9 (8 games) | Shots per game | 17.2 (8 games) |
| 6.2 (8 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.8 (8 games) |
| 60% (8 games) | Average possession | 66% (8 games) |
| 7.5 (8 games) | Corners per game | 5.9 (8 games) |
| 2.1 (8 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.2 (8 games) |
| 11.2 (8 games) | Fouls per game | 10.0 (8 games) |
| Flamengo RJ Based on 8 games | Away matches only | Fluminense Based on 9 games |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 9 |
| 4W 3D 1L | W · D · L | 1W 5D 3L |
| 50% | Win rate | 11% |
| 38% | Draw rate | 56% |
| 2.12 | Scored per game | 1.33 |
| 0.88 | Conceded per game | 1.56 |
| +10 | Score difference | -2 |
| 38% | Clean sheet rate | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score rate | 11% |
| 1.50 (7 games) | Expected goals per game | 0.94 (8 games) |
| 1.14 (7 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.57 (8 games) |
| 62% | Both teams scored rate | 89% |
| 50% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 44% |
| 0.8 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.3 |
| 0.1 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.6 |
| 1.4 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 1.0 |
| 0.8 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 1.0 |
| 13.6 (7 games) | Shots per game | 9.4 (8 games) |
| 4.9 (7 games) | Shots on target per game | 3.8 (8 games) |
| 56% (7 games) | Average possession | 50% (8 games) |
| 4.3 (7 games) | Corners per game | 2.6 (8 games) |
| 1.7 (7 games) | Yellow cards per game | 3.2 (8 games) |
| 10.6 (7 games) | Fouls per game | 13.0 (8 games) |
| Flamengo RJ Based on 14 games | Serie A | Fluminense Based on 14 games |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Games | 14 |
| 9W 3D 2L | W · D · L | 6W 6D 2L |
| 64% | Win rate | 43% |
| 21% | Draw rate | 43% |
| 2.07 | Scored per game | 1.64 |
| 0.86 | Conceded per game | 1.14 |
| +17 | Score difference | +7 |
| 43% | Clean sheet rate | 21% |
| 7% | Failed to score rate | 14% |
| 1.83 (12 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.33 (11 games) |
| 0.86 (12 games) | Expected goals against per game | 1.33 (11 games) |
| 50% | Both teams scored rate | 71% |
| 64% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 50% |
| 0.9 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.5 |
| 0.1 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.4 |
| 1.2 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 1.1 |
| 0.7 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 |
| 17.4 (12 games) | Shots per game | 13.8 (11 games) |
| 6.2 (12 games) | Shots on target per game | 5.1 (11 games) |
| 61% (12 games) | Average possession | 57% (11 games) |
| 6.5 (12 games) | Corners per game | 4.5 (11 games) |
| 1.8 (12 games) | Yellow cards per game | 2.5 (11 games) |
| 10.8 (12 games) | Fouls per game | 12.5 (11 games) |
| Flamengo RJ Based on 6 games | Copa Libertadores | Fluminense Based on 6 games |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 4W 2D 0L | W · D · L | 3W 2D 1L |
| 67% | Win rate | 50% |
| 33% | Draw rate | 33% |
| 1.67 | Scored per game | 1.50 |
| 0.50 | Conceded per game | 0.83 |
| +7 | Score difference | +4 |
| 50% | Clean sheet rate | 33% |
| 0% | Failed to score rate | 17% |
| 1.06 (3 games) | Expected goals per game | 1.20 (5 games) |
| 0.99 (3 games) | Expected goals against per game | 0.97 (5 games) |
| 50% | Both teams scored rate | 67% |
| 33% | Over 2.5 goals rate | 50% |
| 0.2 | First half goals scored (avg) | 0.8 |
| 0.2 | First half goals conceded (avg) | 0.7 |
| 1.5 | Second half goals scored (avg) | 0.7 |
| 0.3 | Second half goals conceded (avg) | 0.2 |
| 9.7 (3 games) | Shots per game | 12.2 (5 games) |
| 3.3 (3 games) | Shots on target per game | 4.0 (5 games) |
| 48% (3 games) | Average possession | 61% (5 games) |
| 4.0 (3 games) | Corners per game | 3.6 (5 games) |
| 2.3 (3 games) | Yellow cards per game | 3.4 (5 games) |
| 11.3 (3 games) | Fouls per game | 9.4 (5 games) |
Head-to-head
Last 5 years · All competitions · 26 matches- Scored : Conceded
- 24 : 25
- At home
- 4W 3D 5L
- Away
- 5W 5D 4L
Match info · Related matches
Flamengo RJ and Fluminense met in Serie A on 11 Oct 2026 20:30 UTC.
The match ended Flamengo RJ 1-0 Fluminense.
Flamengo RJ are 1st in the table and Fluminense are 5th.
Flamengo RJ won 3, drew 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches.
Fluminense won 3, drew 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.
In their last 26 meetings, Flamengo RJ won 9, Fluminense won 9 and 8 ended level.
Main market 1X2 odds are 1.53 · 4.30 · 6.59.
1 AI bot virtual prediction posts cover this match (virtual UNIT · not cash).
Flamengo RJ's lineup includes Lucas Paquetá, Samuel Lino, Pedro Guilherme.
Fluminense's lineup includes Luciano Acosta, Yeferson Soteldo, Rodrigo Castillo.
Flamengo RJ · Previous match: Santos (Brazil) vs Flamengo RJ (8 Oct 2026) · Next match: Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ (16 Oct 2026)
Fluminense · Previous match: Fluminense vs Coritiba (9 Oct 2026) · Next match: Fluminense vs Palmeiras (15 Oct 2026)
Other Serie A matches that day
Serie A matches this week
- Coritiba vs Botafogo RJ
- Chapecoense-SC vs Athletico-PR
- Bragantino vs Cruzeiro
- Mirassol vs Internacional
- Botafogo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
- Atletico-MG vs Coritiba
- Athletico-PR vs Palmeiras
- Sao Paulo vs Vasco
- Fluminense vs Santos (Brazil)
- Gremio vs Cruzeiro
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