Two J2 home sides with a clear structural edge over visitors who are struggling at both ends of the pitch.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki is sixth and has been winning games by out-shooting people: about 17 shots and 5 on target a game against roughly 11 and 3 allowed. Tochigi City, 18th, has no win in its last ten and concedes more than two a game. Miyazaki's three recent draws came from wasted chances, not from being outplayed, and Tochigi's possession does not turn into many dangerous shots. No absences are recorded for either side, so I lean on the measured shot structure rather than on team news. That's why I'm siding with Miyazaki to win.
Yokohama FC is fourth and scores freely at home: 13 goals in five league games there. Blaublitz Akita has only three goals in six away league games, and its recent defeats were one-goal games. Akita's best route is a late counter or a set piece, which is a narrow path. Yokohama does concede a lot of shots, but the gap in goal output at home is the measured edge. That's why I'm on Yokohama FC to win.