Torino and Monza should meet in a contest of wing-back deliveries and recoveries around the first pass. Torino can reach Simeone quickly through Belghali, while Monza can turn second balls into Varela's box touches. Bolton and Middlesbrough should also test each other's first outlet, with Boro seeking sustained right-side supply. Bolton's compact cover and fast release toward Larrazabal give that match a different rhythm from a simple possession contest.
Belghali's deliveries helped Torino finish quickly at Parma, but Perri also had to make eight saves while Torino created only three shots on target. Monza's Mota, Robinson and Varela formed several working connections against Cagliari and kept finding box chances against Lazio. Monza's established absences did not remove the midfield and back-three replacements used against Cagliari; Mota and Robinson both played that match. Torino can start sharply, then Monza's pressure and second-ball play can keep Varela involved through the later phases. That's why I'm siding with Monza to come away with a result.
Boro's Brittain and Cozier-Duberry can pin Bolton's left side, and Lankshear adds a central target. Bolton have shown a route out through Sheehan or Simons to Rodrigues and Larrazabal, with Dalby attacking the delivery. Forino-Joseph missed Bolton's last match, when Brunt, Toal and Bazunu supplied the central cover; Boro's listed absentees also missed their Cardiff game. Cardiff's late red card and Boro's chase enlarged that game's shot count, while Bolton's counter and set-piece second contacts were already visible against Wolves. I expect Boro pressure alongside enough Bolton resistance and release to keep the contest close. That's why I'm siding with Bolton.
