Sturm's pressure and quick forward supply meet Celje's attempt to build through supported central receivers. The key contest is how much protection remains when those support players advance. Getafe–Brighton turns on a related contrast between direct second balls and passing combinations that move the next receiver into space.
Weinhandl's immediate pass to Diakite after a central recovery produced Sturm's winner against Marseille. Celje improved their forward support against Salzburg, but that match still left their opponents with useful chances and an early advantage. Their greater possession against Omonia also came with dangerous concessions.
Kiteishvili remains absent, making the short recovery attack particularly relevant for Sturm. Weinhandl and Gorenc Stankovic started the latest league match, and Diakite played the second half and is expected to start here. I expect Celje to seek controlled exits while Sturm choose their pressing moments and attack the next ball quickly. I'm siding with Sturm Graz to win because that retained connection directly targets Celje's remaining exposure.
Brighton's expected attacking group has shared execution behind it. Rutter supplied Yalcouye and finished Hadjam's cutback in the City cup tie, while Gross offers switches and restart delivery. Those routes meet Getafe's recent problems with crosses, box handovers and dead balls.
Getafe's Satriano-to-Unal supply remains a real attacking relationship. Brighton's official exclusions are Kadioglu, Struijk and Azeez, with the expected Gross–Rutter connections still available; Getafe's Romero remains subject to a selection decision. I expect Brighton to move the first pressure through switches and Rutter's dropping movement, then bring runners into the spaces around the block. I'm siding with Brighton to win because their open-play combinations and restarts provide separate ways to exploit the home defence.
