Sevilla's early supply has created chances, but its recent second-half play has offered fewer finished attacks. Famalicão's recent game showed a different problem: the first exit from its own half rarely reached a goal-facing receiver. Alavés and Arouca each have a way to contest the middle and send the next ball toward the box. The decisive passages should come after the initial press and first clearance.
Fofana can find Romero or Correia for Sevilla, and a Correia corner recently found Salas. Alavés have also produced late goalward contacts through Boyé and fresh attackers, while Sevilla's attack faded after its strong opening against Getafe. Bueno was sent off in that match and is suspended; Romero returned to the squad after leaving Getafe injured, so his starting role is still an estimate. Alavés can defend the first delivery and use its later box presence as Sevilla's wide players advance. That's why I'm siding with Alavés to stay within reach.
Famalicão can release Beney when its first pass escapes pressure, as Rio Ave saw, but Braga held its latest attack to very little goalward work. Arouca can build through Fukui and its wide receivers, recover the next ball and keep Famalicão's replacement wide cover busy. Pinheiro played at Braga before his red card and is now suspended; the suggested García and Bondo reshuffle has yet to start together. Arouca's patient circulation should keep the home side from repeatedly finding its runners in space. That's why I'm siding with Arouca to avoid defeat.
