Everton and Coventry both have routes into the box, but their recent results relied on finishes that have not repeated consistently. The key is whether a first goal is followed by another clean scoring move rather than more territory alone. Derby and Bolton present a different contest: Bolton can reach the spaces around Derby's current back line, while Derby can answer directly through Morris. First contact and the loose ball should shape that match.
Everton can feed Barry through Garner and Dewsbury-Hall, while Coventry can play directly to Awoniyi and release Sakamoto or Rudoni from the next touch. Wright and several Coventry defenders missed recent action, but those direct receivers played against Sunderland; Everton's Grealish absence is already reflected in the Newcastle games. Branthwaite played most of Everton's last league match and George played through it, though their next roles are still to be settled. Coventry's recent away attack and its thin accurate finishing against Fulham and Tottenham sit alongside Everton's goalkeeper-assisted league winner and Pickford's busy cup defence. I expect chances at both ends without a steady sequence of repeat finishes, so I'm siding with a lower-scoring Everton–Coventry match.
Bolton can send Dalby and wide runners into the channels that Norwich and Millwall reached against Derby. Derby's Morris remains an aerial outlet, but Szmodics is newly out after starting Derby's two recent matches, and Bolton's Forino and Famewo played the full Charlton shutout. Sheehan and Ito both played Bolton's last match and remain fitness checks rather than confirmed absences. Bolton should create the clearer first chance from a wide entry or turnover, then use the compact shape that protected their Charlton lead. That's why I'm siding with Bolton away from home.
