Two Serie A matches where the way each team concedes lines up with how its opponent attacks. In Sassuolo against Lazio, a home side that likes to build short from the back meets a visitor whose goals come from exactly those mistakes. In Torino against Como, each side is missing the player who usually protects the zone the other attacks.
Sassuolo conceded from pressing turnovers in their own third in two of their last three matches, at Frosinone and at Como, where they managed almost nothing going forward. Lazio's last home win came from two Parma build-up errors early in the second half. Gattuso's side also has a second route through transitions and set pieces, which is how they won at Juventus with less of the ball. Lazio have conceded only five in eight league games and won each of their recent away matches.
Sassuolo's best hope is an early press and corners, as in the draw with Milan, against a Lazio side without Rovella and on its third game in nine days. That points more to a draw than to a Sassuolo win. I'm siding with Lazio.
In Turin, Como's creator Paz should find space between the lines because Torino are without Mandragora, their usual screen, and they concede plenty of shots. At the other end, Belghali and Torino's two strikers face a Como back line without Chalobah. Torino showed against Udinese that they can create a lot on little of the ball, and Como have conceded in every away game of their recent run.
Como's home clean sheets came with Chalobah and fresher legs; this is away, on their fourth game in ten days. Whoever scores first, the other has a real route back. That's why I'm siding with goals at both ends in Turin.
