Lazio's recent pressure and wide combinations fit the problems Sassuolo have had moving the ball out and recovering toward their own box. Sassuolo have attacking connections of their own, especially through Esposito and runners arriving beyond him. The decisive contest is how often those first passes survive the pressure and which side reaches its next receiver cleanly.
Belahyane's forward passing and the Tavares–Zaccagni flank give Lazio a direct way to test Sassuolo's right-side recovery. Against Parma, their pressure and delivery helped force the decisive errors. Against Juventus, a switch from Tavares found Isaksen on the opposite side, demonstrating another route into the box.
Noslin started against Parma, so the away attack already has recent experience operating without Pinamonti. The illness reports leave Pinamonti's involvement uncertain, and my view rests on the existing unit. Sassuolo are expected to restore more attacking minutes to Esposito, Lauriente and Thorstvedt, whose previous combinations give them a clearer forward outlet.
The later phases favour Lazio's ability to repeat pressure and change the point of attack. Their balance improved after the interval against Parma, while Sassuolo's latest two matches lost attacking continuity in the second half. That's why I'm siding with Lazio to win this match.
