Perth's home opener turns on whether its first pass survives Adelaide's pressure and reaches a midfield receiver. Adelaide have created danger from high regains, but their possession has also left opponents with repeated shots. Zwolle can attack through Mbayo and Oosting, yet their recent lead protection has been fragile. Den Haag's pressure and right-side delivery make the second ball central to that contest.
Freney played a useful outlet role at Macarthur before missing Perth's Brisbane defeat, and the club has brought him back into the squad. Burkitt can punish a loose Perth pass, while Goodwin supplies the next attack, but Adelaide conceded sustained shot volume to Sydney and Lion City. If Perth move the ball beyond that first press, Lawrence and the wider runners can keep reaching the box after the break. That's why I'm siding with Perth Glory to turn better midfield support into a home result.
Zwolle's derby surge came with goals from Oosting and service from Mbayo, but the subsequent Utrecht and Oss games showed less clean chance control and exposed their defensive second contact. Den Haag have an observed chain from Kilo through Rottier to Thomas, with Van Mieghem adding another wave of service. The keeper and forward choices remain unsettled after Den Haag's cup match, while the available attacking chain has already produced against league opposition. That's why I'm siding with Den Haag to stay with Zwolle through this midfield and wide-area contest.