Parma and Udinese look close on the surface, yet their recent box access has come by different routes. Parma have found runners and second receivers while chasing, whereas Udinese have had spells of possession without many close finishes. Milan and Bologna pose a different contest: Milan's wide advances face a side that can press the first pass and answer from restarts. Both matches should turn on which side can create a second clean reception after the first attack is checked.
Bernabé can release Romero behind Udinese's revised back line, with Touré and the wingbacks available for the next ball. Parma made close chances against Lazio and Torino; Udinese's recent matches against Milan, Lecce and Torino produced much less close finishing despite their territory. Davis is returning to full condition and Zaniolo played only a short spell in the last match, so Udinese's late repeat supply is less established. I'm siding with Parma to come out ahead, with a level finish accounted for by the attached selection.
Bologna can contest Milan's first midfield pass, then seek Bernardeschi or Cambiaghi and the Miranda-to-Casale restart. Milan's direct wide play and far-post runners remain productive, but Bologna arrive with a fresher press while Milan manage key creators and miss Rabiot. Milan's supply remains dangerous, but Bologna's central cover and separate response make a comfortable Milan separation harder to sustain. I'm siding with Bologna to keep this match close.
