Mainz and Bayern both have ways to make an initial clearance only the start of another attack. Bayern's pressure reaches the box through several receivers, while Mainz can use Amiri and Caci to carry a reply to the far side. A new clean contact after the first exchange of goals is the key to this match. Leipzig and Augsburg also have active routes for a reply and a further transition after it.
Bayern still have Kane, Olise, Karl and Laimer connecting first shots with follow-up runs, as they did against Atlético. Mainz's Posch and Mwene played their last match but are now suspended, changing the assignments around Bayern's wide service and rebounds. Bayern's official preview confirms Musiala, Gnabry and Díaz remain unavailable after missing Atlético; their present attacking route has already functioned without them. Mainz have the Amiri-to-Caci delivery and restart response to keep the box busy. That's why I'm siding with repeated scoring in Mainz.
Leipzig's home attack has repeatedly recovered the first Augsburg-style outlet and sent a new runner into the box. Augsburg's Rieder and Gregoritsch combined for a first goal against Freiburg, with Ibrahimović and Kade offering another pass after the regain. Nusa played and scored against City but his status is open; Gruda, Baku and Nkunku give Leipzig other current receiving routes. Augsburg's unavailable defenders had already missed the Freiburg match, so its Keitel-Gouweleeuw-Matsima unit has recent playing time together. That's why I'm siding with another match where a reply feeds the next scoring move.
