Leeds will test Tottenham's first two passes with an aggressive home press. Tottenham have shown they can get from a central release to either flank and then back into the box. Portsmouth and Stoke also meet at the first pass, with the space behind the wingbacks shaping the next attack. Both games should turn on whether a clearance leads to another controlled delivery.
Leeds can reach Calvert-Lewin through Bogle, Wilson or a Stach set piece, as they showed against Manchester United. Tottenham's equal-numbers work against Coventry produced finishes from both sides, and their midfield and wide chain gives them repeated access after the first press. Recent official updates supersede older absence flags for Bentancur, Tosin and Rodon; Leeds' Stach played only part of the Bournemouth match and Okafor missed it. I expect Tottenham to work through the first wave and keep finding Kudus, Porro and a far-side runner. That's why I'm siding with Tottenham.
Portsmouth have fresh wide supply through Segecic and Bailey, and Waddingham has provided real final contacts at home. Stoke can answer through Galbraith's first pass and McGlynn's delivery, including the corner that Wilmot finished against Preston. Milovanovic's current absence changes Portsmouth's central target, while Stoke have already played through Cisse's absence and Galbraith's suspension is reported served. I expect Stoke's delivery and second-ball work to keep the game close through the later stretches. That's why I'm siding with Stoke.
