One match is a leader against the bottom side that should stay on top for long stretches, the other is an evenly priced game between two sides whose defences are thin. Both point to goals rather than a tight, quiet night.
Le Havre against PSG: Le Havre are bottom without a win, have scored just twice in their last five home games and are missing their first-choice goalkeeper and two defenders. PSG average more than two goals per away game and put nine or so shots on target a match. They are without several attackers and may rotate with a Champions League trip ahead, but their recent wins without those players still came with plenty of chances. I'm siding with PSG to win by a clear margin.
Nice against Rennes: Rennes are open away from home, with seven scored and twelve conceded in their last six, and create close to two expected goals per game. Nice are missing defenders and a midfield anchor, and those absences have been there for three matches, so the numbers already show them. Nice still score at home in most games and the head-to-head has gone past two goals in six of ten. I'm siding with a game of three or more goals.
