A match where the visitors look stronger than the table suggests. Johor have controlled possession and created far more than they allow in their Champions League games, while the hosts are even on volume and leaky at the back and playing on short rest.
Johor DT have taken about 62 percent of the ball in their three Elite games, with roughly seven shots on target a game and opponents managing almost nothing. That includes a win at Pohang with a clear expected-goal edge. Jeonbuk have conceded five in three Elite games, four of them away, and come in three days after a goalless league draw following a 2-2 in Beijing, while Johor had a full week of rest. Their form guide is draws, not a home winning streak.
Jeonbuk's route is a set piece or a counter that turns this into a draw, which their league form shows can happen. The sample for Johor is only three games and some of their run came against weak domestic sides, but their content in the Elite games is solid. That's why I'm siding with Johor to win.
