Ipswich and Bournemouth both have paths from a first regain to a box chance, and their wide defenders will have to cover the far side quickly. Genoa can press Milan's first outlet, while Milan can answer through a wide pass and another delivery. In each match, the second clean contact after an opening goal is more revealing than the first spell of pressure.
Ipswich can use Palacios or Florentino to find Enciso after beating Bournemouth's press. Bournemouth can reach Evanilson from a wide runner and have rested attacking starters to reload after Ipswich answer. Lukic could return after missing Hull, but his minutes are uncertain; Scott is below full load for Bournemouth and Kroupi is being managed. With both the Ipswich response and Bournemouth's renewed supply available, I'm siding with this match to produce several goals.
Genoa's Messias and El Shaarawy can turn a loose pass into an Osmajic chance, but their recent early goals were followed by long spells of defending. Milan can use Modric to find Moreira or Pulisic, with Ramos and Rabiot reaching the box and a restart adding another route. Genoa's Havel and Venturino are back in the squad after older absence tags; Milan's Tomori and Gabbia are injured, while Maignan is projected to return after playing the derby. Milan have the stronger route to the next decisive finish, so I'm siding with AC Milan to win.
