This game is likely to be decided by entries into a crowded box and the next contact after delivery. Incheon can build through the middle and attack Jeju's changed screen, while Jeju have a quick wide release. Set pieces add another direct route to goal.
Incheon's Lee Ju-yong and Kim Gun-hee combined on corner headers in the earlier meeting, and Mugosa remains an active target after playing the latest match. Jeju's former central screeners were still absent in its latest game, when the replacement unit conceded dead-ball headers and an open-play goal; its own goals were penalties. Ibiza and the central pair can keep Incheon moving forward as Jeju sit deeper. I expect more useful box contacts from the home side, so I'm siding with Incheon.
