Hoffenheim can build long attacking spells, but their forward movement leaves space for Lyon's first exit. Lyon's wide runners can reach that space before the home defence recovers. Celtic and Celta also have competing ways into the box: Celtic through sustained wing supply and corners, Celta through a sharper pass after breaking pressure. The later phases in both matches will test whether those routes keep producing close chances.
Hoffenheim's Prass and Conté can create from wide areas, and their Gladbach response showed they can keep attacking after a setback. Lyon have midfield runners and wide receivers who can exploit the space Hoffenheim left against Beşiktaş and Hamburg. Openda and the newly injured Šulc are missing, while Himbert is set to start; Nakamura and the midfield still provide an observed route forward. Lyon can keep the contest level through those exits and their own box supply. That's why I'm siding with Lyon to avoid defeat.
Celtic's McGregor and Baur can recycle the ball toward wide runners and corners, with Nygren and other forwards attacking the next contact. Celta have Rodríguez and Jutglà for a direct response, and Radu has handled heavy pressure before. Celtic's Johnston, Carter-Vickers and Trusty are unavailable, while Celta travel without Iglesias and Starfelt; the recent match sheets show those gaps are current. Celta's recent away attacks have produced few shots on target, while Celtic have kept putting efforts on goal. That's why I'm siding with Celtic to avoid defeat.