Getafe's direct passes and Sevilla's recovery attacks put the second ball at the centre of their meeting. The important action comes after the first challenge, when a winger or central runner can receive before the defence resets. Excelsior against Twente also turns on that next connection, with direct goalkeeper service and movement beyond the press shaping both attacks.
Sevilla have shown two useful Fofana routes: the short combination that supplied Romero against Osasuna and the carry that released Correia. Those actions fit Getafe's recent difficulty defending deliveries and clearing the next ball. Ejuke and Correia provide width, while Salas offers an additional receiving option at restarts.
Salas, Suazo, Agoumé and Stassin return to Sevilla's squad after cup rest, having started the latest league game. Getafe regain Djené and have Mangala available after his cup half, but Martín and Mojica are suspended. I expect a contested opening followed by Sevilla finding their runners from regains and wide service. That's why I'm siding with Sevilla, with a level result returning that part of the stake.
Twente can play through Zerrouki or use Drommel's longer distribution to reach the next attacking line. Taha supplied Ørjasæter at AZ, and Weghorst has combined with Van den Belt's forward running. Those routes can make Excelsior's defenders turn after the first press has been passed; the hosts allowed MVV six shots on target in their cup win.
Van den Belt is the announced replacement for suspended Weidmann and has a recent extended start alongside Zerrouki. Drommel and the Pröpper–Nijstad pairing continue from the last league match, while Excelsior's returning Naujoks has already played meaningful cup minutes. With Twente having had the longer recovery, I expect their varied outlets to keep testing the home side's recovery runs across the match. That's why I'm siding with Twente to win.
