Getafe and Lugano should test each other's first pass before the match settles into longer spells. Getafe can defend the box compactly, while Lugano can find space beyond the fullbacks and return with late wide service. Juventus and Rennes have a different rhythm: Juventus should own more territory, but their next delivery after the first chance is the key test. Rennes have a direct outlet into the space behind the home wingbacks.
Getafe's recent attacks have often depended on a single clean contact, while Rayo and Craiova found ways to challenge their first outlet and wide recovery. Lugano's European core was rested in the cup, and Mai, Dos Santos and Cimignani can carry the first release with Moncada or Castro adding later box contact. Steffen's thigh injury removes his observed Red Star connection, yet the other receiving routes remain. Getafe's long spell with ten men against Rayo adds weight to the later phases. That's why I'm siding with Lugano to stay with the hosts.
Juventus can press Rennes into errors, as the visitors' recent first-pass losses show, and their announced Kolo Muani-Woltemade pairing offers strong box presence. Yet recent Juventus territory has not consistently become repeated clean finishes, and Rennes can release Tamari beyond an advanced wingback. Conceição and Zhegrova both played against Lazio and are now unavailable, reducing wide supply; Rennes lose Lepaul after his full match at Paris FC but retain direct pace and a back five. The match can stay narrow even through a Juventus lead. That's why I'm siding with Rennes to keep the margin close.
