Getafe's compact home game will test whether Lugano can keep reaching the box from wide areas. Lugano's repeated entries meet a home side that can turn pressure and second balls into isolated chances. Monaco and Freiburg present another contest between fast home box runs and sustained visiting pressure. Freiburg's wide attacks and restarts should keep that match active even after an opening goal.
Getafe can disrupt Lugano's back three, but its recent chance creation has been limited. Lugano have supplied the box repeatedly away from home through Dos Santos and Cimignani, and Moncada contributed to the late Red Star response. Steffen played in that match before his new hamstring injury; the other wide and crossing routes remain. I’m siding with Lugano to keep returning to dangerous areas against Getafe's compact shape.
Freiburg's Treu, Beste and Scherhant have combined down the flank, and Grifo's deliveries add another source of second balls. Monaco have allowed substantial shot and corner volume despite better recent scores, while Brunner and Fati give them a quick route behind Freiburg's press. Balogun is not registered for this competition, and Freiburg expect to manage Lienhart after he played at Leverkusen. I’m siding with Freiburg to sustain enough pressure and response to stay in the match.
