Brighton can sustain wide possession and feed Rutter between defenders, while Getafe can turn a direct ball into a quick central finish. The first Brighton chance matters less than whether the same supply creates another clean shot. Riga can press Jablonec's first pass and reach multiple receivers around the box. Jablonec can defend compactly and counter from the space left behind that press.
Brighton's Groß made repeated deliveries at Jablonec, yet the compact block held them scoreless. Getafe's Satriano played the full Sevilla match with a goal and assist, and Ünal added a goal and assist in 82 minutes; both can receive behind Brighton's wide advance. Brighton's club confirms Kadıoğlu, Struijk and Azeez did not travel after missing the City game, while Getafe's Romero return and Mojica's role remain uncertain. Brighton should have more territory, but Getafe's direct pair and later replacements give them a real reply before a second Brighton goal becomes secure. That's why I'm siding with Getafe to keep this close.
Riga's Oulad M'Hand and Aouani have generated first passes and box entries against Pafos and Kairat, while Ferreira scored after arriving from the bench. Jablonec's Brighton resistance relied on Tekijaški's clearances and Hanuš's handling; Tekijaški missed Slavia and remains uncertain, and Hanuš did not travel after leaving that match injured. Jablonec can still release Kuol or Růsek on a break, but Riga's press should find repeat entries against the replacement unit. That's why I'm siding with Riga to win, with a level finish returning the stake.
