Bologna's press can force Cagliari into an early central decision, but Cagliari also have a direct receiving route beyond that pressure. Mainz and Bremen bring different routes to the box: Mainz recycle second balls, while Bremen can move quickly to a forward target. The first blocked delivery need not end either attack. Later changes in width and the next clearance may matter in both games.
Mendy can receive Cagliari's early release and bring Maldini onto the follow-up ball, a connection visible even in the Monza defeat. Bologna's official squad omits Piccoli and Orsolini; Piccoli left the last match early and Orsolini missed it, altering the hold-up and far-side finishing roles. Cagliari's current outlet can keep the home side involved across long spells of Bologna pressure. That's why I'm siding with Cagliari to take a result.
Mainz have had clean contacts through Caci, Becker and Tietz, with Amiri ready for the next ball. Bremen have Dinkci and Grüll to find Füllkrug, and Weiser supplied another route during his last appearance. The listed absences were largely present in both teams' previous match pictures, so these working channels are current. Their ability to re-enter the box after a change of score is why I'm siding with goals in Mainz against Bremen.
