Atletico should spend more time in the attacking half, but Deportivo retain a useful way to carry the ball out and occupy the box. Yeremay's movement and Nsongo's receiving give the visitors a connection beyond their defensive block. The shape of this match rests on how often Atletico turn territory into a clean opening before Deportivo can relieve the pressure.
Baena's inward movement, Alvarez's links and the wide supply give Atletico several attacking options. Deportivo's response has current evidence: Yeremay's run and blocked effort released Nsongo to score against Levante, and a later high recovery created another dangerous attempt. Amatucci's return gives Hidalgo an additional midfield link and a way to support those exits.
Ede's absence requires a change in the visiting central defence. Aubameyang and Eddahchouri remain out, but the Yeremay–Nsongo route already operated without them. Yeremay's current availability has been checked separately from his last appearance, while Atletico regain Lee as an option and lose Cardoso after his European substitute appearance.
I expect Atletico to move the ball wide and seek the next receiver inside, with Deportivo choosing their pressing moments and looking for supported carries out. Atletico's Espanyol win required a late breakthrough, and their recent margins need separating from matches altered by dismissals. That's why I'm siding with Deportivo to stay within a narrow margin.
