Benfica's wide attack can create another scoring wave after the first breakthrough. Alverca can answer directly through the space behind Benfica's advancing fullbacks. Gil Vicente and Vitória Guimarães look more likely to start with pressure and vertical releases than a steady exchange of clean box chances. In both matches, the second wave matters more than the headline scores from recent games.
Benfica have found later goals from a rebound, a high regain and fresh wide runners, with Prestianni and Lukebakio among the suppliers. Alverca's back three have to cover those wide gaps while Spencer and Camara offer a direct reply. Baseya's reported absence changes that cover, but Bojang's full role is not established; Duran played and scored in Benfica's latest cup match despite the supplier's uncertain disciplinary line. Benfica's repeated supply, with an Alverca response also possible, is why I'm siding with more goals in this match.
Gil can press Vitória's first pass and look for Murilo and Walace, while Vitória can release Jakupović or Camara vertically and threaten from a set piece. Vitória's recent rout needed a free kick, an own goal and a turnover to open up, and Gil's latest league home attack created few clear chances. Prioste and Elimbi are reported to return after missing Gil's cup game, while the other listed absences were already reflected in recent lineups. The first goal can bring a reply, but the evidence for another clean finish is thinner. That's why I'm siding with fewer goals in Gil Vicente against Vitória Guimarães.
