Bayern should have long spells of the ball and use Olise to reach Kane and Saibari between Dortmund's defenders. Dortmund's back three can defend the first delivery and then play out toward Guirassy and Beier. The important pattern is whether Bayern's first finish becomes a second clean one before Dortmund can answer.
Olise's combinations remain sharp even with missing attacking teammates, but Dortmund's Gadou, Anton and Schlotterbeck group and Kobel have given opponents little clean access in league play. Guirassy and Beier offer a way out of Bayern's press, while Dortmund's later runners have supplied another finish.
Musiala, Díaz and Neuer are confirmed absent for Bayern and missed its cup match. Kimmich's return role remains unconfirmed. Dortmund's back three played its latest cup game; Can and two other listed absentees missed it, so the defense in this view has actually played together.
Bayern can open the scoring through its wide pressure. Dortmund's exits and late response then keep the match in a narrow shape, the same tension seen when Bayern's leads met stronger replies. That's why I'm siding with Dortmund to stay close.
