Atalanta's home possession will face a Frosinone press aimed at its central first pass. Hoffenheim and Leverkusen are set for a different exchange, with each side able to create from both a high regain and the space behind that pressure. The key in each game is the quality of the first clean shot and the next contact.
Atalanta can reach Krstović through De Ketelaere and its wide players, but its current replacement centre backs played the full Ajax match after several defensive absences. Frosinone have Calò and Masini to contest the middle, with Ghedjemis and Kvernadze supplying Raimondo; Grillitsch missed their last game and Calvani has returned to the squad. That gives Frosinone a current route through the first pass or second ball even if Atalanta take more territory. That's why I'm siding with Frosinone to keep the game close.
Hoffenheim's press created goals against Lyon, including Daghim's central regain and Hložek's later finish. Leverkusen can break that first wave through García or Fernández and find Maza, Schick or Diaby in the space left behind; Hofmann supplied two different finishes in Crete. Conté and Daghim played Hoffenheim's last match, while Schick, Maza and Diaby all got minutes in Leverkusen's last game, so both sides have observed scoring roles despite uncertain workloads. The exchange can continue after the first goals because each team has recently answered a concession. That's why I'm siding with Hoffenheim and Leverkusen to keep adding goals.
